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Tag Archives: 2018 midterms

Politico: Nelson Not Likely to Prevail in Florida Senate Race Recount

It looks Sen. Bill Nelson is just too far behind Gov. Rick Scott for Democrats to cheat their way into the seat. But maybe that’s not giving them enough credit.

According to Politico:

Nelson has two major problems, experts say: Nelson’s lawsuits were filed so late and courts generally frown on last-minute post-election changes, and the margin he trails Scott by is so big that even expanding the pool of available ballots to count makes it highly unlikely that Nelson could make up enough ground.

“A royal flush is right on the money. Nelson would have to have a perfect hand,” said Michael Morley, a Florida State University election law professor, echoing two other experts who spoke to POLITICO.

“He would have to win in every case. And even then, it would not seem to be enough to change the outcome,” Morley said. “One study that I’ve seen shows that in the 21st Century, there have only been three statewide races that have had their results changed as a result of a recount. And in each of those races, the margins were in the hundreds, not more than 12,000.”

As of the most recent update, only 7,871 absentee ballots were rejected statewide due to “voter error,” which could include mismatched signatures on the ballots compared with what’s on file with the state. And of them, 35 percent were cast by Republicans, 36 percent by Democrats and 29 percent by independents. Another 10,186 ballots were rejected because their envelopes were unsigned. Of them, 31 percent were cast by Republicans, 44 percent by Democrats and 24 percent by independents.

So if all those ballots were counted, Nelson would have to win 85 percent of them statewide in an election where he couldn’t get 50 percent of the vote so far.

Unseated GOP Congressman: John McCain Lost the House

Rep. Jason Lewis, R-Minn., who was defeated in his bid for reelection, has a theory that makes a lot of sense about why Republicans lost the House: John McCain.

According to exit polls, the top issue on people’s minds as they entered the polling stations was health care. That was by design. Democrats waged a massive, national effort to convince voters that if Republicans maintained control of the House, they’d take away the right to get health care regardless of preexisting conditions.

Lewis writes in the Wall Street Journal:

The Republican Party lost its House majority on July 28, 2017, when Sen. John McCain ended the party’s seven-year quest to repeal ObamaCare. House leadership had done an admirable job herding cats. On the second try, we passed the American Health Care Act in May. Then McCain’s inscrutable vote against the Senate’s “skinny repeal” killed the reform effort.

McCain’s last-minute decision prompted a “green wave” of liberal special-interest money, which was used to propagate false claims that the House plan “gutted coverage for people with pre-existing conditions.” That line was the Democrats’ most potent attack in the midterms.

It was endlessly repeated by overt partisans in the media . . . because the AHCA didn’t pass, it was impossible to refute the lies about it.

And since the plan had not passed, it was possible to create fear about the prospect that it would.

McCain will go down as one of the great men of our time because he was palatable to Democrats, at least as long as he wasn’t running for president. And Democrats write history.

His conduct under capitivity during the Vietnam War was heroic. But his career as a senator was marked at times by deep concern for . . . John McCain. His support for campaign finance reform, I believe, was an attempt to revive his reputation after the Keating Five scandal. And his vote against Obamacare repeal was pure vengeance against President Trump, who had insulted him. It was petty, and it harmed the country.

 

New York Times: “Irregularities” in Florida Voting

Finally, someone in the MSM writes about the sheer incompetence and possible corruption that has characterized the election oversight in major Democratic strongholds of Florida.

If it were white Republicans messing around with the vote, the charges of race-based election fixing would be screaming from the tops of the front pages of every MSM news organization.

Anyway, the New York Times decided to put a toe in the water:

But some number of irregularities do appear to have occurred.

On Sunday, one candidate filed an affidavit in court from a fired poll worker who claimed to have witnessed elections employees filling out ballots days before the 2016 election. It was unclear whether what the worker witnessed was wrongdoing, or a routine process in which staffers fill out fresh blank ballots to replace those that come in too bent, torn or otherwise defective to be read by machine. The affidavit was intended to prove that similar problems could be at work in the current election.

In Broward County, 22 rejected ballots were mixed in with about 180 valid ones and were counted. In Palm Beach County, damaged ballots that were duplicated by hand, as required under state law, were handled without independent observers having a good vantage point to witness the process. Staff members had made rulings themselves on questionable ballots that were supposed to be judged by a three-person panel.

In Miami-Dade County, 266 mailed ballots passing through a sorting facility where bombs targeting Democratic politicians had been found were apparently delayed — they arrived on Saturday, after the deadline, and were not counted.

A number of absentee ballots that arrived on time were not all counted by election night — which is legal. But a candidate who saw his lead for agriculture commissioner diminish overnight filed a motion in court asking a judge to order the county elections supervisor not to count mail-in ballots that arrived late. There was no indication that the supervisor had been doing so.

Yes, some “irregularities” appear to have occurred. These are the ones we know about Maybe the Democratic House will investigate . . .

Republicans must be on guard that Democrats don’t continue their long tradition of election stealing. As in JFK and LBJ – honored members of the Democratic election-stealing hall of fame.

America Did Not Reject Trumpism on Election Day

This is from an article I wrote last night for NBC News:

Trump’s message in large part prevailed. In many key states where he campaigned aggressively — including Florida, Missouri, Indiana, Tennessee and Texas — Republican statewide candidates prevailed, perhaps due to Trump’s rollicking, improvisational rallies. He certainly didn’t hurt them.

What liberals who believed the president would provoke a tsunami of new House Democrats failed to understand — as they failed to understand in 2016 — is that the caricature of Trump and his supporters they revel in is fiction. Trump addresses — flamboyantly and divisively, to be sure — the serious concerns of average Americans worried that their country is changing too fast. These voters are concerned that the nation they’ve known, and that has in many ways been remarkably successful, is slipping away from them.

You can read the rest of the piece here on the NBC News website. I hope you take a look, I think you’ll like it.

Why the 2016 Midterms Might Elect Trump in 2020

From a piece I did in the Washington Examiner:

The biggest winner of the 2018 elections was someone not on any ballot — it was President Trump, specifically, his 2020 re-election campaign.

Assuming the absence of catastrophic events like a war or economic collapse — and those things could happen — the midterms have perfectly positioned Trump to win in 2020. The narrow Democratic victory in the House will create an investigative and legislative horror show that will begin January 2018 and not let up for two years.

Radicalized by their base and unable to help themselves, the Democrats, newly in possession of subpoena power and in control of each House committee, will investigate everything that moves in the West Wing and in the Cabinet agencies. Trump will tweet “Witch hunt!” every couple of days, and even average voters will come to believe him as they behold the plethora of probes launched by the Left.

You can read the rest of the article here.

Poll That’s Never Wrong Says GOP Will Keep the House

A little counterprogramming to your steady diet of predictions that the Democrats will remain in control of the House from the Washington Examiner:

Half of Americans believe that Republicans will maintain control of the House in the midterm elections Tuesday, according to Gallup’s final poll. The result of that question has lined up with the actual election outcome every time Gallup has asked it since 1946.

Fifty percent of Americans believe Republicans will stay in power in the House, while 44 percent believe Democrats will take control.

What does this say? It says Republicans are energized and optimistic. Democrats talk a good game and then a lot of their constituencies don’t bother to vote. And some Republicans and independents are ashamed to tell pollsters they’re going with Trump.

My prediction: The Republicans maintain control of the House. I just don’t think that with the economy so good and with President Trump passionately addressing issues conservatives care about, that voters are going to give the House to Democrats and hamstring the White House with investigations and impeachment.

British oddsmakers are putting the chances of Republicans keeping the House at about 30 percent. That’s not even odds, but it’s a lot better than the supposed experts in the United States are giving them. Where people are putting their money down, the odds look better for the GOP.

And so I’m wondering. WHAT DO YOU THINK??

Why is an Ad About Illegal Immigration Racist Because it Features an Hispanic?

One of the perils of illegal immigration is that some among those who enter are criminals. The notion that an American can be killed or otherwise harmed by someone who is not supposed to be in this country in the first place is frightening to many voters.

It is a legitimate and time-worn political tactic to take a fear voters have and amplify it. Democrats do it all the time on issues like guns, race, health care, and Social Security. If you follow the MSM and listen to Democrats, you know that, of course, every supporter of President Trump is a closet white supremacist.

Trump a few days ago tweeted out an ad that featured blood-curdling footage of a maniacal cop killer, Luis Bracamontes, an illegal immigrant and murderer.

Sure, this ad preys on our fears. But that’s politics.

Almost immediately, because Bracamontes is Hispanic, Trump was accused of releasing a racist ad, and the echo chamber in the press convinced itself not that this was not an opinion, but a fact. In a November 3, piece, for example, the New York Times just casually refers to the ad as racist, as if the contention was indisputable:

Anna Greenberg, a managing partner of the Democratic polling firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, said that Mr. Trump’s dark view of immigration, articulated in a racist video posted to his Twitter account and several fiery speeches, was likely to repel suburban and educated women.

And of course, it goes without saying, the man who tweeted it must be racist as well.

CNN refuses to run it, which frankly is an attack of free political speech. As is the New York Times characterization of it as racist in a supposedly neutral news article.

Now, let me ask you, if you’re going to do an ad about the threat posed by illegal immigrants, who are you going to put in it, a bunch of Scotsmen?

How do we know this ad is racist? Why is using an evil person who is also Hispanic ipso facto a racist thing to do? Just because some people might react to it in a racist manner does make the intent of the ad racist. The intent is clearly to show an evil person and the threat represented by allowing millions of people into America whose first act in this country is to break the law by not entering properly.

So here’s the rule: No negative portrayals of a Hispanic when criticizing illegal immigrants. That is, no criticizing illegal immigrants at all.

Because at heart you’re just a racist, not someone trying to preserve and defend the country.

The characterization of this ad is just another example of the weaponization of political correctness. Fortunately, most people know better than the Leftists and elitists who try to demonize political opinion.

Republicans Have the Momentum in Final Days of the Election

Well, of course, you’re not seeing it reported much – and even Politico, which put this story out, minimizes it by just throwing into a list of stories – but the polls are tightening and momentum is on the side of the GOP.

Republicans are looking to be in much better shape than just a week ago and may be on the cusp of holding the House and keeping the Senate.

Note that this is occurring as President Trump steps up his touring of the country and emphasizes illegal immigration, which is important to voters but that the press merely casts as racist fearmongering.

You are being told that by listening to Trump, you are racist, misogynist, haters of gay people, angry, and fearful.

Well, maybe you are a little angry and fearful. Given the direction of the country, you have every right to be. But you are not haters. People proudly wear the “deplorable” label because they get that the Left and the press do not understand their fellow Americans and the goodness of people who are trying to protect the very thing that made this nation great.

Here’s Politico on its own latest survey:

According to the poll, 43 percent of registered voters would vote for the Democratic congressional candidate in their district — only slightly more than the 40 percent who would vote for the Republican candidate. Eighteen percent of registered voters are undecided.

Among those who say they are very likely to vote or have already voted, Democrats lead by 4 percentage points, 47 percent to 43 percent.

That’s a slightly smaller edge for Democrats than other public polls conducted in the immediate run-up to the election, but it fits an overall trend of modest tightening on the general ballot.

In an ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted Oct. 29-Nov. 1, Democrats led by 7 points among registered voters and 8 points among likely voters, down from 11 points and 13 points in October, respectively.

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, conducted Nov. 1-3, found Democrats ahead by 6 points among registered voters and 7 points among likely voters, down from 7 points and 9 points, respectively, in October.

The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll was conducted in between those two surveys, from Oct. 30-Nov. 2. Democrats’ 3-point lead among all registered voters is down from an 8-point lead in the previous poll, which was conducted Oct. 25-30.

Republicans Must Fight for Kavanaugh to the End — or It Will Be the End of Them

I have a huge advantage over most Washington area-based journalists. My readers are largely from among the Republican Party’s conservative base, and I communicate with them all the time and read their comments on this website. And I take what they say very seriously. Because of them, and not because of any stroke of genius… Continue Reading

Americans are a Fair People, and the Kavanaugh “Scandal” Will Help the GOP

I’ve seen several articles Tuesday suggesting that Republicans are going to be harmed in the midterms by the sexual assault accusations that have been lodged against Judge Brett Kavanaugh. I don’t believe it, because Americans are fair-minded people who understand that what is happening is, so far, supremely unfair. The articles seem to rely on… Continue Reading

Examiner: Trump Making Immigration and Crime Banner Issues for the Midterms

President Trump has chosen to double down on immigration as a key issue he will use to beat Democrats in 2018, believing it continues to resonate with voters despite the controversy over family separations at the border, according to Jim Antle of the Washington Examiner. From the Examiner piece: President Trump believes the Democrats are… Continue Reading

If Trump Sells 4.1 Percent Growth, Republicans Can Keep Congress

From an article I have running today on the NBC News website: President Donald Trump made an unscheduled appearance on the White House South Lawn Friday morning, exactly one hour and 13 minutes after the Commerce Department announced the U.S. economy grew at the impressive rate of 4.1 percent in the second quarter. “These are… Continue Reading