In the history of mankind, many republics have risen, have flourished for a less or greater time, and then have fallen because their citizens lost the power of governing themselves and thereby of governing their state. TR


Trump Handled The Iran Crisis Poorly, but His Flexibility May Have Avoided a War

President Trump’s decision not to go ahead with a retaliatory strike on Iran may have prevented a war by avoiding one of the reasons for unnecessary conflict: Leaders trapped into rigid thinking and plans under which they believe their hand has been forced.

Let’s be clear. Trump’s response was bungled. He’s managed to do this in a way that makes him look weak and indecisive. But he appears to have made the correct choice and ultimately decided it was more important to get it right than to worry about how things looked.

Trump had planned to strike Iran, but says he decided not to — ten minutes before launch — when he asked his commanders how many people would be killed and was informed that about 150 would die.

This does not ring true at all. In all likelihood, military planners would have told him how many people would die well before the attack. And if they didn’t and he didn’t ask, he was negligent.

What appears more likely is that Trump was responding to two pieces of intelligence, both of which may have emerged after his initial decision to hit Iran.

First, it seems that the Iranian leadership did not order the strike and was unhappy with a lower-ranking military commander who did.

Second, it now appears that the drone may, in fact, have been in Iranian airspace. Therefore, while a bad idea, Iran would have had some justification, at least legally, for shooting down the drone, and the United States would have been committing an act of war by responding.

All of this is preliminary information. It could change. A full picture has not emerged.

But if true, Trump made the right call not to respond and to change his mind. That actually shows strength in a leader. But calling off an attack ten minutes before it is to launch also shows weakness and indecision, and saying that it was because you suddenly asked about casualties is either a lie or a sign of incompetence.

So while there are good reasons to question how Trump handled this, overall we can be thankful that he took action that avoided what could have been a brutal and unnecessary war resulting from things leaders felt they “had” to do.

You know, think World War I.

Trump should have simply said the Iranians screwed up by hitting the drone but can’t admit it and that the aircraft may have been in Iranian territory instead of going on about casualties. Simple enough, and he would look like a strong leader by not acting.

I think Iran and other enemies would be mistaken to interpret Trump’s errors here as a sign he won’t take action when necessary. He also tweeted that Iran will “NEVER” have a nuclear weapon. I believe he means it, and he will take the steps necessary to ensure it.

7 thoughts on “Trump Handled The Iran Crisis Poorly, but His Flexibility May Have Avoided a War”

  1. Weak? A weak man would have gone ahead with the first impulse or decision.
    A strong leader knows when to change course, to reverse bad decisions and isn’t afraid to do it.

      1. Agree x2. The guy can’t win – every word, every decision is micro-analyzed to the nth degree. He holds back and he’s indecisive and weak…he goes ahead with the strike and he’s an out of control warmonger.

        The media has long forfeited its right to any nuance or objectivity with this president.

        1. Agree x3. Trump’s playing Good Cop/Bad Cop like he usually does. Weak is drawing a bright red line in the sand and then erasing it like Obama.

  2. Oh, C’mon. “Weak and indecisive”?

    Ya’ mean, like the time he flew Cruise Missiles into Syria?

    Or, do you meant that time he green lit military commanders in the field, to wipe out a Russian Mechanized battalion in Syria, threatening our Special Forces outpost? Feb. 2018.
    250-300 dead Russians. Not a wounded U.S. soldier.

    Maybe you ought to learn how to spell “weak and indecisive”?

    That’s B-a-r-a-c-k H-u-s-s-e-i-n O-b-a-m-a.

    Good. Glad I could help you out with that.

  3. Agree x3. Trump’s playing Good Cop/Bad Cop like he usually does. Weak is drawing a bright red line in the sand and then erasing it like Obama.

  4. Weak is not a word I would associate with President Trump. By stopping the strike, he did the right thing and avoided war.

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