As of now, I am in control here, in the White House

United States Threatens to Intervene Militarily in Venezuela’s Internal Affairs

I think most people have missed it, but the United States Monday threatened to launch an invasion of Venezuela to oust Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro for actions he might take against other Venezuelans, not just against U.S. personnel in the country.

Here is the key phrase from National Security Advisor John Bolton, who briefed at the White House Monday:

The United States will hold Venezuelan security forces responsible for the safety of all U.S. diplomatic personnel, the National Assembly, and President Guaidó.  Any violence against these groups would signify a grave assault on the rule of law and will be met with a significant response

Bolton went on to say that “all options are on the table.”

Get it? Maduro moves against Guaido, who has claimed power with U.S. backing, and U.S. troops may enter the country.

And then install Guaido. And then what? Do we just leave and let Venezuela suffer once we’re there. Once the TV cameras are rolling? Or do we start nation-building? And militarily rooting out Maduro’s remaining supporters.

How about in a couple of years when the very people we’re trying to help start chanting, “Yankee bastards, go home!”

Save our precious military assets for the enemies who threaten us, like Russia, China, and North Korea. The military that was depleted by Obama is already stretched too thin.

6 Responses to United States Threatens to Intervene Militarily in Venezuela’s Internal Affairs

  1. Maduro is the linchpin that holds the entire scenario together. If he goes, there would certainly be some short-term instability.

    But can any long-term scenario for Venezuela, be any worse than the status quo? Could anyone here construct a theoretical worse-case outcome?

    Venezuela is close enough to both Central America and the southern Caribbean, that its ongoing destabilizing effects will eventually be felt as part of the larger problem along the southern border.

    Build the wall, but spare Maduro? How does that make sense?

    Operationally, Maduro is no bin Laden, and they wouldn’t need 25 SEALs to take him out. American policy against dictators, however, can best be summed up by Voltaire’s observation that killing a man is murder unless it’s done to the sound of trumpets.

    It would only take a few good hit men to take Maduro out, and save a lot of American treasure and lives. Unfortunately, “that’s not who we are.” (See what I did there?)

    So, instead of just sending in a platoon of shooters to gun Maduro down like the dog that he is, we have to send in a mechanized battalion, in order to appease the domestic peaceniks.

    Well, screw that: if PDJT is getting no credit for bringing our troops home from the Middle East, he could blare Voltaire’s entire brass section, and still be opposed by Maduro’s communist fellow-travelers here in the U.S.

    So yeah, by all means, save the battalion; but don’t spare the shooters. Maduro must go; and if he won’t go quietly, then he can go noisily: i.e., to the sound of gunshots.

    • Thank you for this explanation. I wish that we were more “that way” in that I hope we extract something for ourselves from this investment of our culture into theirs. Something such as tribute money, lowered oil prices, cash for the Wall, something other than a bunch of body boxes and some bills to pay.

      • Lower oil MIGHT happen.

        The reason Venezuela ended up as a basket case, was that Hugo Chavez essentially bet the country’s entire economy on eternally high crude prices.

        When American ingenuity figured out how to get oil from a stone, crude prices sank, and it was costing more to recover Venezuela’s oil, than it was worth.

        The petrodollars dried up; with the easy money gone, the rest of the central-planned economy had nothing to back it up. Cue the death spiral, and now, here we are.

        It’s an oversimplification, admittedly. But, if Maduro goes, and law, order, and free markets are restored, Venezuela could start exporting its oil again, and sooner than we think. A free and diverse economy would make Venezuelan oil profitable to extract again; that could lead to lower prices at the pump for us, and a surprisingly quick rebound of quality of life for the average Venezuelan.

        Provided that chavismo ends up on the ash-heap of history, where it belongs, I’m actually quite bullish on Venezuela.

  2. I saw the interview. Afterwards somehow they showed Bolton’s notes on his yellow pad. He had written 5,000 military to Colombia. It is well known that criminal organizations are operating along the border.

    Appears to me the US is applying maximum pressure on the money. Venezuela has $1.2 billion in gold in the Bank of England. Maduro was trying to transfer it. The US asked the UK to continue to hold it. They complied.

    Guiado’s supporters are handing leaflets to the rank and file military. They are offering asylum to them. The problem is the senior officers. It is estimated 25,000 Cubans are in the military. This is in violation to the Organization of Americans States.

    Even if Maduro is removed this is the type of unsavory characters Guiado will have to deal with. El Aissami was Vice President.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tareck_El_Aissami

    PDVSA used 49.9% of Citgo as collateral for a $1.5 Billion loan from Russia.