A new poll by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News finds that President Trump’s job approval rating has jumped to its highest point of his presidency and key congressional races have tightened, suggesting Republicans may be able to hang on to the House.
At 49 percent, Trump’s approval rating is higher than Barack Obama’s was at the same point in his presidency.
According to the Wall Street Journal:
In the aftermath of the bitter confirmation fight over Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, Republicans have closed the once-large gap between their voters’ and Democrats’ interest in the election. Now, 68% of Republican voters and 72% of Democrats say they are very interested in the election—the highest recorded for either party by the survey in a midterm election.
Hand in hand with Republicans’ increased election interest is a rise in Mr. Trump’s job-approval rating to 47%, the highest mark of his time in office, with 49% disapproving of his performance. That is an improvement from September, when 44% approved and 52% disapproved of his performance.
Democrats still lead on the question of which party should control Congress. Among poll respondents identified as likely voters, 50% prefer Democrats, while 41% prefer Republican control, about the same as in last month’s poll.
(Pollster Fred) Yang said the poll results include signs that the widely predicted “blue wave” of Democratic gains in the House in 2018 now is running into a “riptide of uncertainty [that] has been created with a surge of Republican intensity.”
Although Democrats are preferred in the national poll overall, their advantage has vanished in the House districts that matter most. In districts rated as the most competitive by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, the parties are dead even on the question of which one should control Congress.