I’ve seen several articles Tuesday suggesting that Republicans are going to be harmed in the midterms by the sexual assault accusations that have been lodged against Judge Brett Kavanaugh. I don’t believe it, because Americans are fair-minded people who understand that what is happening is, so far, supremely unfair. The articles seem to rely on a lot of the same kind of operatives and analysts who thought President Trump had no chance of becoming President Trump. That is, they don’t get average Americans.
If Kavanaugh assaulted a woman, even in high school, then it is reprehensible and he should not only not be confirmed for the Supreme Court, but he should step down from his current position. I was an idiot in high school too, but I never did anything like this.
But if the evidence stands as it is now, there is no way to prove that any of what is alleged happened, and Kavanaugh’s sterling reputation should remain unbesmirched. And yes, he should be confirmed.
As you are no doubt aware, Christine Blasey Ford has alleged that Kavanaugh assaulted her 36 years ago. Even if she believes what she is saying, there are no contemporaneous witnesses who can back up her assertion. She apparently told no one, which is thoroughly understandable if this is true, but still, she told no one – until some three decades later. And again, even if she believes her allegation to be correct, it is perfectly reasonable to think that her recollection of it over the years may have changed.
From July 2013 article in Psychology Today:
Now Daniela Schiller, of Mt. Sinai School of Medicine and her former colleagues from New York University give us a new insight into the nature of memory.
Not only are our memories faulty (anyone who has uncovered old diaries knows that), but more importantly Schiller says our memories change each time they are recalled. What we recall is only a facsimile of things gone by.
Schiller says that memories are malleable constructs that are reconstructed with each recall. We all recognize that our memories are like Swiss cheese; what we now know is that they are more like processed cheese.
What we remember changes each time we recall the event. The slightly changed memory is now embedded as “real,” only to be reconstructed with the next recall.
And of course, she might just be making it up. I know it’s politically incorrect to say that. But you don’t, ipso facto, believe an accusation just because you abhor the crime. That’s not how our system of justice or our society works.
For Washington-based “political experts,” all you have to do is say “sexual assault” or “bad for women” and they go off like decapitated screaming chicken heads that suburban women will all vote Democratic. But average Americans are more sophisticated than that. They will get that there is a distinction in this case with a difference. That to the extent Kavanaugh is persecuted publicly – or if he is rejected by the Senate – over a 36-year-old accusation with no supporting evidence, that he will have been treated unfairly. And furious Republicans will come out in waves to vote.
Because they will understand that if Kavanaugh is doomed by this, Mob Rule has taken the place of justice in our society.
And the more the Supreme Court issue is in the news close to Election Day, the more that conservatives will remember why they vote. And so they will vote. And the supposed “enthusiasm gap” that appears to favor the Left will be closed.