Well, you won’t hear the press making a big deal about any of this. The thought that Republicans might retain control of both houses of Congress is too much to bear. And the notion that Trump’s approval rating is headed toward 50 percent – and is equal to his disapproval rating – just seems impossible when his approval among the press corps is about three percent.
But Politico took the poll, so Politic did write the story:
Fully 39 percent of registered voters say they would support the GOP candidate for Congress in their district, while 38 percent would back the Democratic candidate. Nearly a quarter of voters, 23 percent, are undecided.
Voters are split almost evenly along party lines. Democratic voters break for their party, 85 percent to 5 percent, while Republicans similarly favor the GOP, 84 percent to 8 percent. Among independent voters, 26 percent would vote for the Democrat, 25 percent for the Republican and nearly half, 49 percent, are undecided.
The GOP’s 1-point advantage comes after three months of tracking in which Democrats maintained a lead ranging between 2 and 10 points on the generic ballot. That has been generally smaller than the party’s lead in other public surveys: The most recent RealClearPolitics average shows Democrats ahead by 7 points on the generic ballot, though that’s down from a high of 13 points late last year.
The new year has also produced a Trump polling bump. In the new poll, 47 percent of voters approve of the job Trump is doing as president, while the same percentage disapprove.
Note the line I’ve highlighted suggesting this poll is an outlier. I don’t think I’ve seen too many publications touting other polls above their own.
But the news is not good.