As of now, I am in control here, in the White House

GOP Leads Generic Ballot; Trump Approval at Ten-Month High

Well, you won’t hear the press making a big deal about any of this. The thought that Republicans might retain control of both houses of Congress is too much to bear. And the notion that Trump’s approval rating is headed toward 50 percent – and is equal to his disapproval rating – just seems impossible when his approval among the press corps is about three percent.

But Politico took the poll, so Politic did write the story:

Fully 39 percent of registered voters say they would support the GOP candidate for Congress in their district, while 38 percent would back the Democratic candidate. Nearly a quarter of voters, 23 percent, are undecided.

Voters are split almost evenly along party lines. Democratic voters break for their party, 85 percent to 5 percent, while Republicans similarly favor the GOP, 84 percent to 8 percent. Among independent voters, 26 percent would vote for the Democrat, 25 percent for the Republican and nearly half, 49 percent, are undecided.

The GOP’s 1-point advantage comes after three months of tracking in which Democrats maintained a lead ranging between 2 and 10 points on the generic ballot. That has been generally smaller than the party’s lead in other public surveys: The most recent RealClearPolitics average shows Democrats ahead by 7 points on the generic ballot, though that’s down from a high of 13 points late last year.

The new year has also produced a Trump polling bump. In the new poll, 47 percent of voters approve of the job Trump is doing as president, while the same percentage disapprove.

Note the line I’ve highlighted suggesting this poll is an outlier. I don’t think I’ve seen too many publications touting other polls above their own.

But the news is not good.

5 Responses to GOP Leads Generic Ballot; Trump Approval at Ten-Month High

  1. The candidates matter..

    1. Roy Moore – Zealot types
    2. Trump – Drain the Swamp
    3. Romney RINOs
    4. Moderate Democrat (I know — there really are none)
    5. Big Lefty

    The sweet spot is at #2…. move more to #1 or #3 and you lose… For instance – Luther Strange in Alabama would have won easily but Moore (his 10 commandments deal aside from the fake news (or not) of pedo nature did him in and gets people to think that the Republicans are out of gas.

    Icarus it is…

  2. The Democrats were polling better than this at this point in 2010 and 2014.

    And if the economy really starts taking off, not only will the GOP keep the House, they may even pull out a supermajority in the Senate.

    With no Obama to coattail off of this time around, and two dozen seats to defend, the Democrats may well need a miracle. And their Marxist worldview has outlawed miracles.

  3. Thank you Mr. Koffler,

    I have always thought that I had good knowledge of the English language but, I have to admit that “outlier” was a new one on me. So I just naturally had to look it up. I looked in; – Then I listed what I perceive to be the Clintoons earned association with my “word of the day”

    Outlier [out-lahy-er]

    something that lies outside the main body or group that it is a part of, as a cow far from the rest of the herd [That would describe Hillary to a “T”], or a distant island belonging to a cluster of islands: [That must be a reference to Bill’s many trips to Jeffrey Epstein’s “Pedophile island:]

    The small factory was an outlier, and unproductive, so the corporation sold it off to private owners who were able to make it profitable. [That would explain Trump’s win in 2016, Arguably, a work still in progress as far as the “profitable” part]

    someone who stands apart from others of his or her group, as by differing behavior, beliefs, or religious practices:
    scientists who are outliers in their views on climate change. [Eliminate the “religious practices” part and it’s the Clintoons]
    Synonyms: nonconformist, maverick; original, eccentric, bohemian; dissident, dissenter, iconoclast, heretic; outsider.

    a. an observation that is well outside of the expected range of values in a study or experiment, and which is often discarded from the data set: [OK Keith, there it is, your analogy of Politico’s survey]
    Experience with a variety of data-reduction problems has led to several strategies for dealing with outliers in data sets. [“data-reduction problems”? Would that be the Slime-Stream-Media’s buzz words for “Fake News”?]

    b. a person whose abilities, achievements, etc., lie outside the range of statistical probability. [Understood! I still can’t believe the Clintoons have evaded jail for so many years myself]

    Geology. a part of a formation left detached through the removal of surrounding parts by erosion. [Of this definition, the analogy between the Clintoons and everything they have touched are too many to list]

    Obsolete. a person residing outside the place of his or her business, duty, etc. [My hope lies in the first word of this definition, obsolete. Let us pray that the Clintoons truly are obsolete and that our great country is never again corrupted by their kind]