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Four Ways to Think of the Tragic Iranian Deal

There are four crucial aspects to the Iranian nuclear deal that suggest why it is a tragically flawed document that will end up with Iran in possession of a nuclear weapon.

1. Iran is granted the right to enrich uranium.

Iran is correct, the agreement is a de facto recognition of its “right” to enrich uranium.

Protests by the administration – Secretary of State John Kerry in particular – that the deal does not recognize a “right” of Iran to enrich uranium are Obamacare-style lies, false for what they leave out.

The deal, as Kerry contends, does not explicitly recognize a “right.” But it clearly does so implicitly. Here is what the text of the deal says about a final agreement supposedly six months down the road:

This comprehensive solution would involve a mutually defined enrichment program with practical limits and transparency measures to ensure the peaceful nature of the program.

Get it? Final deal allows enrichment. Just a matter of how much.

Here’s why this is so incredibly significant.

Allowing Iran to enrich is contrary to UN resolutions and U.S. policy. It’s a big concession, even before the most serious talks have started. It gets us to the table – by giving away the chair.

What this means is that from now on – forever – the United States and the UN will be forced to try to keep tabs on an enrichment program and ensure that Iran does not achieve the “breakout” point it’s already so close to.

How do you do that? You can’t. For Iran to be deprived on a nuclear weapon, it has to be deprived of the materials and processes to make one. The Iranians know that with an enrichment program in place, they’ll eventually, one way or another, get nuclear-grade material.

2. Human nature is excluded from the deal.

This is the problem with liberals like President Obama and Kerry. They think that through their brilliant designs they can control human nature. The Iranian deal is like Obamacare in that it is a supposedly well-ordered plan that fails to take into account the nature of the participants.

Obama doesn’t even understand himself. He said he will simply slap the sanctions back on if Iran “does not fully meet its commitments.” Really? He’s going to admit this whole enterprise of his was a failure if Iran gauges here and cheats there?

Nor does he understand human greed. Does he really believe everyone who has suddenly started enriching themselves in the Persian bazaar will redo the sanctions and just fold up and go home?

And of course, critically, he doesn’t understand the nature of the Iranian theocracy.

Obama thinks he can “entice” the Iranians into a final deal because once they get that groovy feeling of an improving economy, they’ll want more sanctions lifted.

Iran’s leaders don’t want comfort. They want power. They want that power to do what they see as Allah’s work on earth. That’s why they want nuclear weapons – it gives them the ultimate power. Six months of reduced sanctions is only good if it gives them time to continue work not covered by the agreement, to cheat, and if it pacifies Iranians long enough to accept the potential temporary reimposition of sanctions at some point while the mullahs make their final sprint to a bomb.

3. Do you trust Obama?

Does anyone really trust, in the wake of the lies about Obamacare, that Obama will make good on his pledges with respect to this deal? That he’ll reimpose sanctions and go to a military option if necessary? That he has Israel’s back? That containment of a nuclear Iran is not an option for him?

The administration is already lying to us, as I mention above, by asserting Iran wasn’t granted to right to enrich uranium. On the very same Sunday talk show Kerry offered that whopper, he tried to deceive us into thinking there is “no daylight” between Israel and the United States. He said:

Israel and the United States absolutely share the same goal here. There is no daylight between us, with respect to what we want to achieve at this point.

That’s like saying there is “no daylight” between Obama and the Tea Party in that they both want to make the economy better. Its pure spin and nonsense.

4. We think we know everything, but we never do.

What about that secret facility in Iran that needs only another six months to become operational? Are we sure it’s not hidden under the desert, it’s entrance a hole in the ground covered by a Persian rug?

America entrusted its future to a man who had absolutely no relevant experience to the job of president. When Iran inevitably tests a nuclear weapon, American will pay the price for a rare, though potentially fatal, mistake.

44 Responses to Four Ways to Think of the Tragic Iranian Deal

  1. Great points Keith, Thank you
    Why would a nation so rich in oil and gas build a very expensive nuke plant for electricty? Of course they wouldn’t it is just for enrichment of Uranium to build a bomb and everyone know’s it! Why didn’t they purchase fuel for the plant from another Nation? Netanyahu seems to be the only sane one in the room and knows what is coming.
    Kerry and Obummer are being played yet again.

    • Bingo.
      If todays “Iran” had any sense they would have no problem using their oil & gas reserves to build a nation/regional power in the “Persian Gulf”.
      Then again, before 1979 Revolution the “evil West” (UK, US, etc.) ran the Persian/Iranian oil-gas-energy sector back then.

  2. Neville Chamberlain 1938:
    “And next I want to say that the settlement of the Czechoslovakian problem, which has now been achieved is, in my view, only the prelude to a larger settlement in which all Europe may find peace…..I believe it is peace for our time.”

    FDR, January 6, 1941 opening his Four Freedoms State of the Union speech addressing the disaster that realized following Chamberlain’s appeasement of evil in his time:
    “I address you, the Members of the members of this new Congress, at a moment unprecedented in the history of the Union. I use the word “unprecedented,” because at no previous time has American security been as seriously threatened from without as it is today.”

    Obama, November 23, 2013:
    “Today, the United States — together with our close allies and partners — took an important first step toward a comprehensive solution that addresses our concerns with the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear program……….. As I’ve said many times, my strong preference is to resolve this issue peacefully, and we’ve extended the hand of diplomacy… Today, that diplomacy opened up a new path toward a world that is more secure …… While today’s announcement is just a first step, it achieves a great deal……….. Ultimately, only diplomacy can bring about a durable solution to the challenge posed by Iran’s nuclear program……….. The first step that we’ve taken today marks the most significant and tangible progress that we’ve made with Iran since I took office….But through strong and principled diplomacy, the United States of America will do our part on behalf of a world of greater peace, security, and cooperation among nations.”

    The only question remaining is who will the President be that has to address the disaster of Obama’s appeasement with evil in OUR time? (If we survive until that time.)

  3. Yesterday at a press conference in Geneva, Iran’s foreign minister, Zarif, said Iran will NEVER stop enriching uranium. It will not be a part of any plan now or in the future.

    Obama’s words “If it doesn’t work out, we will just dial up the sanctions again” are going to come back to haunt him. Is he nuts? We have lost all leverage – forever. China and Russia will never sign on to sanctions. Game over!

    Trust Obama? You have to be kidding!

  4. Girly had a really interesting suggestion yesterday on the open thread. Maybe Obama is doing all this as payment to V. Putin because Putin bailed him out of his ‘red line’ fiasco with Syria. “Do you trust Obama?” I only trust that Obama will do what he thinks is best for Obama.

  5. For me, the only way to think about this is the strong chance that there will one day soon be a bunch of dead Jews, dead Arabs and dead Persians.

  6. Points #1 thru #3 are points that we all agree with as probable. Even the Congressional Dems are skeptical about the importance of this agreement, and have promised to add new sanctions to Iranian interests.

    Point #4 is too horrifying to contemplate and digest. At this point, all we can hope for is a new, previously unthinkable coalition of the middle eastern states and Israel to work together to stop this madness.

  7. Julie is right. Wait until after the election when I’ll have a little more freedom. The 47% combined with the women of this country will rue their error in electing this incompetent.

  8. Obama’s deal with Iran almost guarantees that Israel will have to attack Iran at some point. That, of course, will set off a long chain of very bad unintended consequences. It’s not too much of a stretch to see Obama’s naïve deal with Iran as putting us on the path to WWIII.

  9. Superb analysis per usual Keith. This is just a wholly regrettable topic. Couple of points along the way…

    This is not a precise parallel to “peace in our time” as some suggest. In fact, this is worse than what Neville Chamberlain did. It is plausible that Chamberlain knew what he was doing and in effect bought time for England and France to prepare for inevitable war. What Obama has done is buy time for IRAN to prepare for atomic war at a time and place of their choosing. Swell huh?

    In addition, Obama has bought air cover for the Iranian Regime and hung the IAF out to dry. Any plans for a preemptive strike are now incredibly complicated for Israel and any Arab country that might wish to help. How can they attack Iran when they are actively involved in “negotiations”? It doesn’t matter if there is any truth in the negotiation activity. Rather, any action to bomb Iran will be deemed an aggressive act of war not a defensive or preemptive attack to neutralize a threat.

    I submit, Obama isn’t’ stupid…this is exactly what he desires

  10. Spot on Keith. Obama and Kerry have themselves come up with a deal that on enrichment alone violates the UN Resolution to say nothing of the disaster of the rest of it. Kerry, like Obama , just flat out lied.

    The very real question for me, is how much longer is (are) the Congress, the media and the American people going to allow such easily provable lying to go on.

    And if we had any courage at all, we would admit and charge that the President is and has endangered the security of the United States by allowing a country which has vowed Death to America time to implement that threat with nuclear force.

  11. Just for giggles. I would like for some media person to ask Obama what is the process for imposing a sanction? Step by step. Does he think this is something that is done overnight, by executive fiat, with a snap of ValJar’s fingers? That a simple nod in her direction and sanctions by businesses and banks worldwide are simply lifted as if by the mere magic of her thought? WTF does he think?

    I swear to God this man must wear slip on loafers because he cannot possibly tie his own shoes.

  12. My opinion and that of many others is that this deal with Iran is a giant deadly squirrel meant to knock the crypt keeper’s power grab and the massive failure that is Obamacare off the headlines. Why would an American president sell out our ally Israel and endanger the lives of every human of the Christian and Jewish faith just to change the subject? Former communist turned conservative, David Horowitz, has the answer if we’re courageous enough to accept it.

    “…Obama doesn’t identify with our country. He sees himself as a “citizen of the world,” and a redresser of grievances for the suffering he imagines America has inflicted on our adversaries, including Hitlerite Iran.”

    • David Horowitz has Obama pegged. That phrase “I am a citizen of the world” should have been a red flag to every American. I know I was gobsmacked. Obama has travelled the world apologizing ad denigrating the U.S. for 6-7 years, yet we allow him to continue to live in OUR house; eat OUR food, spend OUR money; give OUR jobs away to foreigners; take OUR healthcare away from us; take OUR freedoms away; trash OUR Constitution…and tell us that OUR children need to learn to speak Spanish.
      What’s not to love about Barack Hussein Obama?

  13. Again we have more proof we no longer have a functioning government.
    These college educated are gullible and inept. Iran will laugh all the way till they push the ‘reset’ button then there won’t be anything funny.
    Drudge had the picture of Netanyahu and the words ‘stands alone’. here’s a news flash he’s always stood alone. At least we know where the absence of cojones went cause there aren’t any in DC anymore.

    • We all have to stop: Think of our children’s future. Just stop! Remember just years ago. Did we have so…….many important issues to be deeply concerned with as of today. OK it is taking us some time to have all this (Please excuse me the list of things wrong is getting so… long). thrown upon us. What do we do all meet outside tomorrow at 1:00 to protest. I don’t think everyone wants to throw tea in the water, that has already been done. I have not been bullied since I was 9 years old and called four eyes. I cried to my dad and he said Lee just stand strong and pretend it doesn’t hurt. Guess what they stopped and picked on another person. Point being we are as far as I am concerned being bullied.

  14. Excellent analysis, Keith. This is Munich 2. The agreement recognizes Iran as a nuclear state, gives them $7 billion in purchasing power by relieving sanctions, and recognizes the regime of terror in Iran. The agreement paves the way for a Middle East nuclear race, and that will not end well. The entire Middle East is at risk, as well as Europe, the US, and Israel. The Saudis, Egyptians, Jordan, Lebanon recognize that the Obama administration has signed their death warrant.