I can’t prove it. But I can feel it.
Gov. Mitt Romney may be moving toward a large win, in the same way Ronald Reagan did in the final days of the 1980 campaign. I expect the ground to start shifting, and the movement could escalate into an earthquake.
I’ll give you the evidence for this:
- The polls are moving Romney’s way. The Rasmussen tracking poll today shows Romney making a two-point jump to a four-point lead, 50-46 percent. He’s closing the gap or taking small leads swing states, and states like Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where President Obama appeared to have a victory in hand, are now tossups.
- Undecided voters tend to break for the challenger in presidential elections.
- Beyond the polls, Republicans have enthusiasm on their side. Democrats are less dispirited than they were after the first debate, but their determination is nowhere near that of the GOP rank and file.
- Romney has used the debates, including last night’s, to point out two bottom line facts that many people did not recognize before the contests: He is ready to be president, and Obama has failed across a broad array of areas, starting with the economy and ending with Iran.
- Conservatives are now passionate about Romney. All previous apostasies are forgiven. They don’t just want him to beat Obama. They’ve grown to like him, and they’ll be at the polls in droves.
- The campaigns both know Romney is winning. That is why last night Romney adopted aura of an incoming president and got down in the mud only when he felt he had to, and why Obama looked like a desperate candidate hoping to make every possible point he could think of to take down his opponent.
- You. From you, I feel that passion from outside of Washington. It’s the same passion I felt before Republicans took the House in 2010. The Obama people don’t have access to this passion. And they don’t know what’s about to hit them.
There has always been a bottom line to this race. Obama has failed to keep his basic promise to cure the ailing economy. There’s nothing he can do or say to make that go away. Instead of fixing things, he gave us Obamacare, for which we didn’t ask.
What he needed was the secret sauce in the success of so many supposedly great politicians: a lousy opponent.
And as the debates have made clear, he has a very good opponent, and Americans have a credible alternative.