But that’s not the big story. What’s really interesting is that Clinton only beats Trump by seven points in deep blue New Jersey, 45 percent to 38 percent, according to Quinnipiac. Why is this significant? Because President Obama beat Mitt Romney by 18 points in New Jersey.
The poll demonstrates pretty conclusively that Trump is going to bring Democratic-leaning states into play, particularly in the Northeast and Midwest. Pennsylvania in particular — and its 20 electoral votes — is going to be a key battleground, where it was once assumed Democratic.
The Fox national poll shows Clintons negatives rising, Trump’s falling, suggesting his recent efforts to appear normal are paying off:
A record 61 percent have a negative view of the likely Democratic nominee, according to a Fox News poll released Wednesday. That’s up from 58 percent in March.
Fifty-six percent have an unfavorable view of Trump — though that’s actually good news for Donald. Because it was 65 percent two months ago (that was a record high).
Thirty-seven percent have a favorable opinion of Clinton, down two points from 39 percent in March, establishing a new low. The likely Republican nominee’s favorable jumped over the same time period: 41 percent view Trump positively, up from 31 percent in March.
Democrats who are overconfident are going to find, again, that such thinking is a bad idea where Hillary is concerned. And conservatives who think they can sit this one out while Trump loses and try again in four years are deceiving themselves.