Well, so much for the predictions by the Washington cognoscenti that Donald Trump’s comments about John McCain not being a hero – a flip aside which he basically corrected a few sentences later, BTW – would destroy his campaign.
What the prognosticators didn’t understand is that McCain is deeply unpopular among conservatives, even if his war service is obviously respected. And so Trump rolls on.
The latest national poll of Republicans, this one by Quinnipiac, has Trump with TWICE as much support as Jeb Bush, taking 20 percent of the vote compared to 10 percent for Bush. Between them, but closer to Bush, is Scott Walker, who garners 13 percent. No other Republican tops six percent.
On the other hand, Trump also tops the “Hell no” list, with 30 percent of Republicans saying they would never support him.
On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton continues to weather the ceaseless cascade of damaging information about her, getting 55 percent of the Democratic vote compared with 17 percent for Bernie Sanders. But creeping up there is Joe Biden, who would get 13 percent of the vote without even campaigning.
At this point, you could make the case that Trump needs to start saying more terrible things about McCain.
A new CNN poll finds that 52 percent of adults have a favorable view of George W. Bush, compared to 43 percent who see him unfavorably, a shift from previous polls that have shown Bush’s post-presidential approval well south of 50 percent.
Bush’s positives are a bit ahead of those of President Obama, who was viewed favorably by only 49 percent. But Obama was also rated unfavorably by 49 percent, six points worse than Bush.
Of course, this is not exactly and apples to apples comparison. Everyone, from presidents to college girlfriends and boyfriends, looks better in retrospect. But still, to be trailing the much-maligned Bush is quite an achievement for the sitting president.
GOP polling guru Frank Luntz says the American people have lost confidence in all government institutions, including those designed to keep us healthy, as well as the media who report what those institutions are doing.
Ironically, he finds that confidence in government was at its highest under a president who was trying to get government to do less: Ronald Reagan.
Reagan was also a strong and decisive leader, of course.
No doubt some in Washington will find all this mysterious, but it’s not very complicated. The government has lied to us repeatedly, and the mainstream media are biased toward the left and too cozy with the people they cover.
And, the American people aren’t stupid, to the surprise of those who govern them and inform them from Washington, and they’ve figured all this out.
NBC Meet the Press host Chuck Todd today suggested President Obama is on the cusp of throwing Democrats right back in the foreign policy disaster zone where they existed for at least a dozen years following Jimmy Carter’s feckless presidency.
“He’s on the precipice of doing Jimmy Carter-like damage to the Democratic brand on foreign policy – if he’s not careful,” Todd said.
Todd indicated though that he thinks Obama’s damaging effects are probably temporary.
Todd was talking on MSNBC’s Morning Joe about a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll that puts Republican up by 38 points over Democrats on on the question of which Party will ensure a strong national defense. The poll shows strong support for aggressive action against ISIS.
A few other points from Todd’s conversation with Joe Scarborough:
Obama isn’t trying to rally the nation on ISIS. The nation is trying to rally Obama.
The single most followed story of the last five years is the beheading by ISIS of Americans Steven Sotloff and James Foley.
Democrats’ internal polls showed their candidates dropping 6-9 percentage points when Obama went golfing after speaking about Foley’s murder.
Thirty five percent of Americans believe that Obamacare has made them and their families worse off, while only 18 percent think they are better off, a new CNN poll finds. Forty six percent think the law has made no difference for them.
Incredibly, this demonstrates not only that twice as many think the Affordable Care Act has hurt them compared to those who feel helped, but that a whopping total of 81 percent believe the biggest piece of social legislation since the 1960s – and the centerpiece of Obama’s presidency – are of the opinion the law has either hurt them or made no difference to them at all.
Some 35 percent say “other families in this country are better off now that the major provisions of the health care law have taken effect,” a statistic that says very little, since someone somewhere must have benefited.
The poll continued to show an incredible degree of negativity about the law, with 59 percent disapproving, the second highest reading by CNN polling since March 2010. This, remember, at the moment we now know more that ever about what the law entails. Only 40 percent say they favor Obamacare.
Five years into President Obama’s administration and more than six years after the recession began, unemployment is the biggest concern troubling the minds of Americans, according to a new Gallup poll.
Americans, it appears, are not buying the rosy White House line about all the jobs being created and all the “consecutive months” of job growth. They get that the unemployment rate is going down because people are giving up the search. And most of all . . .
THEY’RE LOOKING FOR JOBS AND CAN’T FIND THEM.
Here are the top ten concerns:
The second biggest concern is the economy, which begs the question:
WHAT HAS OBAMA BEEN DOING THE LAST FIVE YEARS??
Notice the disconnect between what Americans care about and where Obama’s head is at.
Health issues are fourth on the list, viewed as the biggest problem by only 15 percent. Immigration, Obama’s top second term policy priority, is the top concern of just six percent of his subjects. And Obama’s overriding second term focus, “income inequality” – as represented by the category “poverty/hunger/homelessness” – comes in tenth at three percent. Gun control didn’t even make the top ten.
We have a president pursuing his own ideological agenda while the nation continues to suffer. And nothing will change for the next three years. So let’s learn to love it!
Nate Silver, the respected poll data cruncher who accurately predicted the 2012 election results, wrote a piece today for his blog FiveThirtyEight cautioning against all the heated analysis predicting doom for Republicans as a result of the shutdown. Silver notes that any given issue tends to be fleeting, and that the last shutdown in 1995… Continue Reading
New polling shows disapproval with Republican handling of the government shutdown growing and blame toward Obama for the standoff declining. According to a poll by the Pew Research Center released Monday, only 30 percent said the Obama administration was to blame for the shutdown, compared to 36 percent two weeks ago. Thirty eight percent blamed… Continue Reading
While more people blame Republicans for the federal government shutdown, plenty also blame President Obama and the Democrats, suggesting no one has won the war for public opinion and Republicans are not yet suffering the grievous political consequences commonly predicted. According to a CBS News poll conducted after the shutdown began October 1, 44 percent… Continue Reading
Washington is erupting in a chorus of “I told you so’s” because of a new CNN poll headlined “Blame on GOP,” asserting congressional Republicans would be held at fault if the government shuts down. Let’s talk about that. First of all, here’s the information in the poll that is not making the headlines: 57 percent… Continue Reading
A new poll finds Americans generally opposed to defunding Obamacare and overwhelmingly opposed if it leads to shutting down the government and defaulting on the debt. From the CNBC article on the poll: The CNBC All-America Economic Survey of 800 people across the country conducted by Hart-McInturff, finds that, in general, Americans oppose defunding Obamacare… Continue Reading