A new poll by NBC News puts Hillary Clinton just three points ahead of Donald Trump, a decline from the five-point margin in a poll conducted last week by the news organization.
On top of a Gravis poll released late last week that put Clinton just two points ahead of Trump, it is becoming increasingly clear that the election is easily close enough for Trump to stand an good chance of winning it.
Clinton dominates among minorities and women, Trump among whites and men. From the report:
Clinton, who was able to maintain her front-runner status throughout the Democratic primary by winning over black and Hispanic voters, continues to do extremely well among these voters over Trump. She wins black voters 84 percent to 9 percent – a 75 point gap—and wins Hispanics 65 percent to 28 percent. Trump is the preferred candidate among white voters by 14 points over Clinton—53 percent to 39 percent. This is up slightly from last week’s 11-point margin among white voters.
There is also a significant gender gap with Clinton beating Trump by 15 points among women, while Trump carries men by a similar 11-percent margin. Gender appears to be critical to this race already with Trump’s controversial comments about Clinton playing the “woman’s card” in order to explain her success over Sanders.
With the numbers so close, and given the number of things that can happen between now and Election Day, it is clear that this race is a complete tossup.