Political strategist Karl Rove, who is working to elect Gov. Mitt Romney through his SuperPac American Crossroads, gives Romney a narrow win in the Electoral College, 285-253.
His prediction actually resembles the one I put out Monday. We both give Romney Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Iowa, Colorado, New Hampshire, and Ohio.
But I also forecast Romney wins in Nevada, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Of these three states, Roves writes:
While I put them in Mr. Obama’s column, I still believe NV, WI, and PA are in play and very winnable for Mr. Romney. If crowds at his recent stops in these states are any indication of his supporters’ enthusiasm, Mr. Romney will likely be able to claim victory in these states as well.
One note of caution with Rove. He is one of the most knowledgeable political observers in the country and helped elect George W. Bush twice. But I still remember, when covering the White House in 2006, that Rove was boisterously certain that Republicans would retain the House. Instead, Democrats swept back into control.
Nevertheless, as a veteran of two presidential campaigns who knows every county in the nation, and as something of a genius – he’ll probably admit this if pressed just a little bit – okay, maybe if not even pressed at all – Rove’s predictions should not be taken lightly.