Gov. Mitt Romney has extended his lead in the latest Gallup tracking poll of likely voters to seven points, a sizable number well outside the poll’s margin of error of two points.
He now leads 52-45 percent.
The polling at the swing state level is closer, and the Obama people go on and on about how Romney can’t win without Ohio, but let’s be clear: Romney is not going to win by say four or five points in the popular vote and lose the Electoral College. It’s just not going to happen.
And Gallup really is not new to polling, you see. What they come up with is significant. According to Karl Rove, writing today in the Wall Street Journal, “No other presidential candidate has been at 50 percent or higher at this point in the race in this survey and lost.”
The polling includes the last seven days, so it hasn’t really factored in Tuesday night’s debate.
But as Rove notes in his piece, and as I’ve noted, President Obama really needed to slaughter Romney in the debate to gain much ground. The reason the first debate helped Romney was that it established him as a very credible candidate in the minds of those who didn’t think so already – including Obama himself. And he presented himself as a man brimming with ideas and competency.
So Romney would have had to said, you know, that Poland is still under Soviet domination in order to lose the boost he got from debate #1.
He might still do that, but Romney is not Jerry Ford.